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China to America – 'We will choose our friends as we see fit'

posted Saturday, 5 November 2005
There is an old saying in Asia 類は友を呼ぶ:- Similarities call out to friends, and in few places is this more evident the relationship between North Korea and China., and if recent announcements and trends hold true, this relationship looks set to evolve, into something much more solid and much more sustainable, much to the distress of nationalist elements in Washington.

Since the end of the Korean War, China has acted to support its ideological partner in terms of military assistance, civilian aid, and political recognition, in what has largely been an ‘aid provider-aid receiver’ relationship that has seen China assisting North Korea for reasons of unity and political face. However, recent moves by Beijing now show clearly that China intends to expand this relationship to a new level, much to the chagrin America, which would see North Korea isolated from the world and resigned to the status of pariah state.

During a high level press briefing, welcoming Chinese president 胡錦濤 (Hu Jintao) return from a three day ‘good will’ visit to North Korea, Wang Jiarui, the head of the International affairs department of China’s ruling central committee that China announced that China was now moving steadily to expand its dealings with North Korea to cover a broad range of area, and indicating that that Beijing soon hoped to develop the uneven Sino-North Korean relationship into a full two way economic relationship that would bring the two countries closer together than ever.

“China and the DPRK [are exchanging] views on developing domestic economy, science and technology and education.”

Wang Jiarui, Head, International Department of the Central Committee, China

Though Wang’s pledge of support comes as no surprise to even the greenest of China watchers, and mirrors numerous past statements of support for North Korea, it is also indicative of an increasing trend in Beijing’s foreign policy. Trends under which China is now increasingly seeking to transform its unproductive Cold War era relationships into economically viable relationships that see China gaining more than just face in return for its support.

In line with this change, from face to more tangible benefits, China recently moved to ‘restructure’ its relationship with Zimbabwe. Offering it assistance in the developing its economy in areas that China can either export to or import from, while investing in its mining and agriculture sectors in return for favoured access to Zimbabwe’s markets and produce.

Though still in its early stages, and currently limited in some part by the poor state of North Korea’s economy and industry, China’s future relationship with the North is likely to be based on similar footings to that which China is building in Zimbabwe, and has already been to cemented at some level with the joint stamping of a number deals to construct factories and conduct exchanges. Some of which have already been completed.


"China not only provides the DPRK with economic aid, but also helps it build factories.”

Wang Jiarui



During his briefing, Wang also advised that China's intention, to take its relationship with North Korea to a new level, shouldn't be viewed 'in a narrow way'. A statement seen by some as a barely cloaked warning to the west, and in particular to the US, that China intended to substantially expand its relationship with North Korea regardless what other countries thought, and that it would brook no interference from the international community in the matter.


"The policy can't be interpreted in a narrow way"

Wang Jiarui



Coexistence but not subservience

While China has made substantial moves to integrate into the wider international community over the last decade and, as such, has moved to align itself closer to the broader international stance on a number of issues, Beijing has fiercely defended its decision to maintain an independent foreign policy. Stating that it has the indelible right to position itself in accordance with its own world view, and that it will choose its allies as it sees fit.

In this light, Beijing has continued to maintain a strong political and national relationship with North Korea in direct defiance of demands from Washington that alter its ties with the North; crafting them into a form that is either more in keeping America's own, or which do not hinder execution of America’s own foreign policy towards the isolated communist state.

And North Korea Makes Three

Although there are many long-standing differences of opinion between Beijing and Washington, China's support for North Korea has long been a particular stumbling block in Sino-American relationships. With Washington, and elements close to it, often voicing that China's continued support for its neighbor serves to artificially prop up a non viable North Korean state, and that diplomatic and economic assistance from Beijing has allowed Pyongyang to flout efforts to force it to reform through sanctions, isolation and international pressure.

As such, Washington has made not secret of its desire to hasten the demise of North Korea by putting pressure on China.


“The road to reform in Pyongyang goes through Beijing."

Michael Horowitz, Senior Fellow, Hudson Institute (Conservative think tank).



Historically, Washington's efforts have largely been centred on persuading Beijing to use its influence to 'reign in' Pyongyang, and to bring it to the negotiating table. However, in line with Washington's recent moves, under the Bush administration, towards a far more combative foreign policy, US Lawmakers, Lobbyists and think tanks have increasingly been taking the view that China is an obstacle on the path to regime change; a euphemism for the forced removal of a foreign Government that is at odds with Washington, in North Korea, and that China must be made to ‘face the consequences’ in terms of its diplomatic and economic relationship with America if it continues to support for the North in its stand-off against Washington.

As such, Wang’s announcement, that China was looking to expand its relationship with the North to include sustainable economic ties, is not likely to be well received by US conservatives, who see China’s assistance as allowing Pyongyang it to defy Washington to the detriment of America's image and North Korea’s population, and who have increasingly been voicing that China should be actively punished for its actions.


"China could produce regime transformation in 15 minutes if it wants to but up to now, China has not yet paid a price in terms of its relations with the U.S for supporting Kim Jong-il's gulags, torture and gas chambers. It is our intention more and more to force China to choose between full support for Kim Jong-il or good relations with the U.S. We are going to work very hard to say that China can't have both."

Michael Horowitz, Senior Fellow, Hudson Institute (Conservative think tank).



A recent example of such efforts is the proposed "Scoop Jackson National Security and Freedom Act 2005", a bill that would allow Washington punish China with economic sanctions if it continued to support Pyongyang by forcefully repatriating North Korean refugees on the grounds that doing so assists in the committal of human rights violations by Pyongyang.


"One point on which everyone increasingly agrees is that China must be held accountable for human rights violations of Pyongyang regime"

Michael Horowitz, Hudson Institute, US



Some critics of the bill have however voiced that ‘scoop Jackson’ and other similar measures may be as much about keeping China; a substantial diplomatic, economic, and ideological competitor to the US, 'down', as they are about reforming North Korea.

Consistency

Wang's statement in support for North Korea comes soon after Beijing’s lawmakers angered Washington by striking down efforts to persuade China to put stamp to the 'Proliferation Security Initiative; A controversial, US backed, non-proliferation agreement under which a signatories agree to aid Washington in the interdiction of international cargoes that are believed to contain so called 'Weapons of Mass Destruction' or other related materials and substances.

Publicly, China stated that its decision, not to join PSI, was due to concerns over the legality of the treaty stemming from the low burden of proof and disclosure that it required, and concerns that the treaty ran in contradiction to international charters that were designed to protect vessels at sea from unlawful search and seizure.


'The PSI has so far failed to completely exclude the possibility of interdiction operations beyond the framework of current international law; that is where China and other countries concerned lies, as well as the major reason why those countries have not joined the PSI. We hope the participating countries to PSI will seriously take into consideration these concerns and act with caution,'

Zhang Yan, director-general of the Department of Arms Control and Disarmament within the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs.



Privately however, it is believed that China's decision was heavily influenced by fears that the treaty would be used as a tool to crack down on nations that are not on friendly terms with Washington who try to obtain materials and technology that would lessen the gap between themselves and the US, or to aid others in obtaining such materials. Both of which North Korea comes at the top Washigton's list for.

Were China to have joined PSI, it could have been compelled to seize any or all North Korean cargo vessels in the vicinity of China based on Washington's 'say so' alone, or risk being labelled as a friend to international terrorism if it refused to comply.

Despite US assurances that it is not specifically targeted at any one nation, PSI was, incidentally, created shortly after a incident in which the US was forced to release a Cambodian registered ship carrying North Korean chemicals and missile components to Yemen.


 "we had no legal basis to seize the cargo"

Ari Fleischer, White House spokesperson



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1. sun bin left...
Monday, 7 November 2005 3:08 am :: http://sun-bin.blogspot.com

a few things

1. china does not have the influence on NK as people though. toda china is basically bribing NK into the 6 party talk.

2. NK has been good in playing Russia against China all these year. but the main reason for NK not bowing to either country is, there is nothing china/russia can use to threaten or force NK

3. ideologically, china and NK are very far apart now. all china has is mercantilism today, as you know.

4. china is most concerned about the collapse of NK, it would be diasatrous for china's border, creating population and ethnic tension in Jilin. therefore, china is willing to 'bribe for peace'. washington failed to see (or chose to ignore) the pragmatic reason for China to appease pyongyang.

about the PSI, China feels itself a victim. in the early 1990s, US force boarded a Chinese cargo ship Yinghe (Galaxy) and failed to find anything. A huge embarassment for US and humuliation for China. That explains China's attitude today toward such treaties.

btw, i think 類は友を呼ぶ is probably 物以类聚??

p.s. there is an article written by a Japanese professon (in Chinese) widely pubblished in Chinese internet media, which probably represent the most objective view of the sino-japanese situation. We need more rational views like this. http://news.wenxuecity.com/BBSView.php?SubID=news&MsgID=105820


2. The Angry Chinese Blogger left...
Monday, 7 November 2005 5:04 pm

sun bin

This may be true, but it's not how the US see things. It doesn't so much see China as having direct influence over North Korea, but more as it being the one thing that has stopped North Korea collapsing in a big heap.

America would very much like to see North Korea fall apart leaving a huge mess that it can walk right into and 'save'. Unfortunately for them, China is cupplying the North with food and fuel and it is not colllapsing.

Naturally, America is unhappy about this.

Yes, 類は友を呼ぶ means pretty much the same as 物以类聚.

I haven't read your link yet, maybe if I have time later.


3. sun bin left...
Tuesday, 8 November 2005 6:54 am :: http://sun-bin.blogspot.com

yes, china and US have different objectives on NK, and this will not change.

the problem for US is, NK will not just collapse if China stops supplying it with fuel/food. China under the famine of 1960 did not collapse. Cuba under decades of embargo did not collapse either.

Schelling (this year's nobel prize winner) provided his insight about NK in today's WSJ, i will probably write something about it.


4. ACB left...
Tuesday, 8 November 2005 4:21 pm :: http://angrychineseblogger.blog-city.com

While North Korea might not collapse from famine alone, it is not sufferig from famine alone.

America is currently doing a lot of work to try and further undemine the country, including paying $US24 Million per yeaar for the next three years to support people smuggling rings aimed at diminishing North Korea's population and bringing in high leel defectors, plus leafleting campaigns to encourage rebellion and the supply of radios to allow North Koreas to listen to US broadcasts.

North Korea also as a chronic fuel shortage and without aid from China will run out of heating fuel and fuel for its power stations. Without external supply North Koreans will quickly switch to wood burning which will lead ot deforestation and soil errosion which will increase the current famine.


5. sun bin left...
Thursday, 10 November 2005 3:25 pm :: http://sun-bin.blogspot.com

The problem of stopping Chinese aids is that it will NOT affect the privileged class/KIm JI clique. It would only be the poor who suffer, and as you said, ecological disaster.


6. ACB left...
Thursday, 10 November 2005 4:39 pm :: http://angrychineseblogger.blog-city.com

I think that that is exactly what Washington want. If the North Korean people are issolated and are ground into the dirt it will be far easier for the US to say that it is saving them and they will (at least in Washington's mind) be far more accepting to the idea of US intervention.

America want's to wear North Korea down.


7. Achilles left...
Sunday, 13 November 2005 10:57 am :: http://achilles.blog-city.com

Of course we want to isolate North Korea so it will collapse. Kim Jong-il is a cruel tyrant. He is the reason North Koreans suffer. Americans do like to see people suffer. Many humanitarian groups say North Korea is the MOST repressed country in the world. Americans do not want to save North Koreans (although no one else seems to care), so much as we would like them to save themselves.

Yes, we see China as the lifeline that keeps an oppressive government alive. Does China care so little for North Korean people? Apparently.


8. ACB left...
Sunday, 13 November 2005 6:12 pm :: http://angrychineseblogger.blog-city.com

While I share your view that Kim is a tyrant and that he has brought great suffering to the people of North Korea, and so sould be perged, I disagree strongly with anybody who wants to change things by making North Korea 'collapse'.

When you isolate a country as America is trying to do to North Korea, in order to bring it down, it takes a VERY long time and the ordinary people suffer greatly.

People are cold, hungry and without hope, and the more that America tries to issolate North Korea, the colder, hungrier and more desperate they will become.

The state is cruel and despotic, and the more that America tries to subvert it and to instigate rebeilion or exodus, the crueller and more despotic the state will become in order to keep its grip on power.

What America should be doing is working to make North Korea a viable prospect. Integrate its government back into the world comunity to the point when it will begin to care what the outside world thinks about it and reasure it that America isn't going to attack.

If North Korea feels safe it will be far more liekely to reform, and will spend more money on food and less on weapons. If it feels threatened it will build up its military, maintain a tight grip on the populace, and will be more likely to become more despotic. . It might take a little longer, but the people will suffer less.


9. Brian left...
Monday, 14 November 2005 12:16 am :: http://www.brianmathes.com/blog

Oh come on man, if the world learned anything from Clinton and Albright's Agreed Framework in the last decade, it was only that the North Korean government only plays diplomacy when it needs something. Even then, it is more extortion than diplomacy. The North has its own agenda and reform is not on it.

As bad as this may be for the people of North Korea, most aid and economic investment today only seems to benefit the military and the ruling elite, so it makes little sense for the involved parties to seek to fund the tyrants and a military that they may yet have to fight.

Keep in mind that North Korea threatens numerous American allies, namely South Korea and Japan, and more broadly serves as a wild card in East Asia. The Japanese certainly have not forgotten the rockets that flew over their islands, which came from the North.

It will take some creative diplomacy, both to convince China that instability on its border can be satisfactorily resolved and that it is not in its interest to support a nasty government like that of the North. Perhaps an image of an extended South Korea can be pitched to Chinese leaders. That country has very good relations with the PRC and both countries are making a lot of money off each other.

In general, I percieve that Chinese diplomacy has not caught up with the country's new world role. China historically sought to be the leader of the developing world, particularly as it sought votes in the UN General Assembly. This brought it into relationships with a number of unsavory characters. The challenge for the world's major powers, and most greatly for America, will be to show China that there is another, preferable way of doing business in the world. But I do think this will be more easily accomplished as China and America's interests (trade, regional stability, pursuing extremism) will only seem to overlap more in the future.


10. ACB left...
Monday, 14 November 2005 1:10 am :: http://angrychineseblogger.blog-city.com

OK, what exactly do you propose is to be done?

If you cut North Korea off it will become more demanding and will make more threats. Sanctions will hurt the people more than the regime, and attempts to subvert the state will lead it to grip on more tightly and further hurt the people.

In the long run, appeaseing North Korea economically will be less harmful to the people than sanctions and less harmful than a war. It might not bring down North Korea, but it will help to improve the lives of those who are living there, who I am certain would rather have slightly better life under Kim Il Jong than be bombed or shelled or crushed and starved by an attempt to bring him down.


11. Achilles left...
Monday, 14 November 2005 12:24 pm :: http://achilles.blog-city.com

ACB,

First, North Koreans are not suffering because of any American policies. NK's are suffering - starving - because of Kim Jong-il.

Second, I also am well-aware that if the world gave NK every assurance that it would simply demand more. Totalitarian governments never become friendly simply because we pet them (think Stalin).

Third, IF China also cut its ties to NK, and NK were truly isolated and had no resources (the people are already starving and trying to escape, next it would be the government officials who would know hunger) - why do you assume they would simply begin firing missiles? Would that gain them bread? I counter your suggestion with the suggestion that they would begin defecting and begging, and that revolt might come from inside the government.

No, giving Kim Jong-il what he wants will only stoke his ego and continue the nightmare.

By the way, ACB, I thank you for the opportunity to discuss this, and I think you have a great blog-site.


12. Ming left...
Wednesday, 30 November 2005 3:34 pm

Sanction will not work it only kills more poor Koreans. Invasion would not work either, look at Iraq. Maybe kill Kim and his loyal followers might bring about changes in leadership and hopefully it would change the dire situation on N Korea.