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Taiwanese elections: 101 different ways to spin a story

posted Sunday, 13 January 2008

Well, the votes are in, the people of Taiwan have spoken, but what does it mean?

Care of the BBC

Taiwan nationalists in huge win

Taiwan's opposition nationalist Kuomintang (KMT) party has won a landslide victory in parliamentary polls, official results show.

The KMT, which wants closer ties with China, secured 72% of the seats in the 113-seat chamber, beating President Chen Shui-bian's party, the DPP.

The independence-leaning president said he was "shamed", resigning as chairman of the Democratic Progressive Party.

The elections are seen as a barometer for the presidential poll on 22 March.

China regards Taiwan as a renegade province that should be reunified.

Referendums

With all the votes counted, the KMT secured 81 seats, Taiwan's election commission announced.
   
TAIWAN'S POLL RESULTS
KMT - 81 seat
DPP - 27 seats
other parties - 5 seats

The DPP got 27 seats (24%), while smaller parties won five seats.

Under a new electoral system, the number of seats in Taiwan's new parliament has been cut from 225 to 113.

The change was adopted in 2005 to reduce corruption and improve efficiency but observers say the new system may marginalise smaller parties in favour of the DPP and the KMT.

A new voting system was also introduced whereby voters cast ballots for both a party and a particular candidate in their constituency.

Seventy-three seats were contested by a total of 296 individual candidates representing 12 parties, while 34 seats were to be allocated on a party list system. A further six seats were reserved for ethnic minorities.

Two referendums were held alongside the legislative election.

The first asked voters to support legislation to force the KMT to return state assets the DPP says were illegally amassed during the 1950s, while the other, tabled by the KMT, called for action against corrupt officials.

Beijing quiet

BBC China analyst Shirong Chen says the two main parties concentrated on local issues and shied away from discussing China in the run-up to the vote, a tactic the Chinese government has also adopted.

Beijing has learned from its past misadventures during Taiwanese polls that verbal warnings and missile tests would backfire in favour of candidates from the pro-independence DPP, our correspondent says.

China has been focusing on getting countries like the US and France to oppose Taiwan's referendum on joining the UN, which will be held alongside the presidential election in March.

China has also been persuading Taiwan's diplomatic allies to switch recognition from Taipei to Beijing, prompting the Taiwanese foreign minister to make a futile trip to Malawi to consolidate bilateral ties.   


If there's one thing that ACB's time as an analyst has taught them, it if this "You can twist almost anything to mean almost anything", and this blogger can see many a way to twist the thing that is the Taiwanese election. Here are a few choice conclusions (in no particular order). Some are more twisted than others. See if you can spot the ringer/s.

  • People voted for the opposition because of the poor policies of the DDP
  • People voted for the opposition because of their good policies
  • People voted against the DDP because they lost confidence in Chen's stewardship
  • People votes against the DDP because they were afraid that Chen would throw them into a needless and bloody war with China
  • People voted for the opposition because they supported closer ties with China
  • People voted for the opposition because they like the color of Mainland money and think that the opposition is the best party to get it for them
  • People voted for the opposition because they were afraid to anger China
  • People voted the same way that they'd always done, but the new voting system skewed results unfairly against the DDP
  • People voted the same way that they'd always done, but the new voting system redressed the balance giving a fairer and more representative vote than before
  • Beijing rigged the election because the opposition has always been more friendly towards the Mainland
  • Tokyo rigged the election because the opposition has always been more friendly towards Japan
  • Aliens did it.

 

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1. Peter left...
Sunday, 13 January 2008 11:09 pm :: http://www.civicchina.com

How about these options (just rephrasing)... * People voted for the opposition because they favor harmonious (!) relations to their neighbor(s). * People voted for the opposition because the neoliberal ideas of a "market economy" and limited government action make Chen look outdated. * People voted for the opposition because they believe that economic ties and profits are key to success.


2. ACB left...
Monday, 14 January 2008 12:38 am

"People voted for the opposition because they believe that economic ties and profits are key to success."

I thought that I'd covered that one when I mentioned the "color of Mainland money"


3. travis left...
Monday, 14 January 2008 7:16 am

Money talk, BS walk !


4. ACB left...
Wednesday, 16 January 2008 3:24 am

Are you suggesting that the election was rigged?


5. travis left...
Thursday, 17 January 2008 11:57 am

Not at all! I am sure this is an honest election. There are just more people in Taiwan like the "color of Mainland money”. Chen’s tough talks generated none ($).